Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.046895 0.055256 0.064614 0.075855 0.088983 0.103825 0.121872
2025-07-06 0.032791 0.043226 0.056206 0.073506 0.095926 0.123971 0.161690
2025-07-13 0.026055 0.037465 0.052864 0.075093 0.106284 0.148413 0.209560
2025-07-20 0.021299 0.032921 0.049702 0.075578 0.114333 0.170071 0.256152
2025-07-27 0.017913 0.029484 0.047202 0.076123 0.121947 0.191501 0.304780
2025-08-03 0.015483 0.026959 0.045478 0.077284 0.130259 0.214593 0.358543
2025-08-10 0.013805 0.025302 0.044760 0.079752 0.140724 0.242047 0.422442
2025-08-17 0.011594 0.022315 0.041300 0.076968 0.141832 0.254085 0.462041
2025-08-24 0.010159 0.020461 0.039489 0.076712 0.147123 0.273611 0.516643
2025-08-31 0.008861 0.018638 0.037430 0.075632 0.150643 0.290230 0.567817
2025-09-07 0.008075 0.017686 0.036859 0.077254 0.159367 0.317239 0.641334
2025-09-14 0.007150 0.016289 0.035197 0.076442 0.163149 0.335211 0.699467
2025-09-21 0.006229 0.014770 0.033101 0.074516 0.164577 0.349063 0.751862
2025-09-28 0.005389 0.013292 0.030878 0.072000 0.164439 0.359770 0.799286
2025-10-05 0.004966 0.012706 0.030515 0.073512 0.173178 0.389905 0.891295
2025-10-12 0.004521 0.011989 0.029747 0.073978 0.179615 0.415827 0.977234
2025-10-19 0.004132 0.011347 0.029054 0.074510 0.186252 0.442918 1.068975
2025-10-26 0.003820 0.010850 0.028639 0.075647 0.194451 0.474458 1.174622
2025-11-02 0.003606 0.010575 0.028733 0.078064 0.206072 0.515248 1.306794
2025-11-09 0.003169 0.009614 0.026926 0.075337 0.204462 0.524382 1.363759
2025-11-16 0.002892 0.009057 0.026103 0.075086 0.209162 0.549399 1.462859
2025-11-23 0.002613 0.008445 0.025040 0.074028 0.211590 0.569007 1.550573
2025-11-30 0.002460 0.008189 0.024932 0.075618 0.221375 0.608494 1.694248